Why Diversify?

With the ugly performance of the US stock market since the beginning of October it’s important to remember why we must diversify our retirement portfolios. There’s a world of opportunities in stocks, but only about half of those opportunities are in US companies, so the other half is outside of here in the foreign and emerging markets.

When we diversify (by investing in thousands of big and small companies in the US and abroad) we accomplish two things:

  1. We decrease the likelihood that we’ll have the best or worst performing portfolio. And when it comes to our one shot at planning our retirement, we can’t swing for the fences and come away with either a home run or a strike out.

  2. We reduce and help manage catastrophic losses that can come with investing in one area of the market or investing in just a handful of companies.


For more information, you can check out this article from DFA; I highlighted a couple areas I thought were important to read.

Q3, 2020 MARKET SUMMARY REPORT

Most stock markets have continued to rebound since a very dismal end of Q1 / beginning of Q2, 2020. Here you can see DFA's Q3, 2020 Market Update Summary. I want to point out two areas of the stock market that have recently performed very poorly: real estate and value stocks (you can see their respective returns on pages 4, and 8 – 10 of the attached PDF, and in the graphic pasted below).

I don’t need to define real estate for you, but maybe I do for a value stock. A value stock is defined as stock of a company that is trading at a low price relative to some fundamental measure of that company’s worth, whereas a growth stock is one that can be defined as stock of a company that is trading at a high price relative to some fundamental measure of that company’s worth.

Despite their recently poor performance, real estate and value stocks are included in our investment portfolios (along with many other styles and types of investments in the U.S. and abroad). These areas have been underperforming lately, but that is not cause for alarm. Not everything will be great at once, and likewise, not everything will be terrible at once, either. That’s why we want exposure to everything – known as diversification – because, at times, real estate will be great and at other times it’ll be down in the dumps, and right now growth stocks are hot (we own those, too) while value stocks are not, at some point that will change and value will be rewarding us with great returns while growth stocks lag behind. We don’t know when one area will do great or do poorly, so we own all areas, and when an area is down it gets a little more attention in the terms of additional investments – this is us buying good stocks while they are on sale. Right now when we rebalance or invest new money like rollovers and IRA contributions, we’ll look to put a little extra into the areas that are struggling knowing that those trends won’t continue for ever and our retirement portfolios will ultimately be rewarded for our resolve. Again, buying good investments while they are on sale makes for a fantastic long-term wealth building strategy.

Q1, 2020 market return summary

Q3, 2018 Market Summary Report

Here you can view the quarterly report for Q3, 2018, it concludes with a write up called The Total Price of Ownership. Owning shares of a mutual fund come with a cost. Some mutual fund companies charge you a “load” or a commission to purchase or sell their mutual fund, while all mutual funds have operating costs and manager compensation baked into the price of the fund. This baked in cost is known as the expense ratio; an expense ratio of .50% means a cost of $500 (paid by you, the investor) is baked into an investment of $100,000, for example.

Loads are unnecessary and can be easily avoided so we choose to only use mutual funds that are “no-load” funds. Expense ratios can’t be avoided, so we make sure to use mutual funds with smaller expense ratios, because the less you pay to invest the more you make. Keep in mind, as the article points out, expense ratios aren’t the end all be all when making fund selections and they don’t always tell the whole story when it comes to the cost of owning a fund. You can give the article a read for a more detailed dive into the total price of fund ownership.

Q3, 2019 Market Summary Report

Here you'll find DFA's Q3, 2019 Market Summary Report.

Everybody has or knows someone who has a great market timing story. Their story might be a little exaggerated or embellished, but it’s probably mostly true…of course, you typically only hear the good stories and not the bad ones. Market timing is tough, very tough. It requires picking the right time to get into a stock and the right time to get out of a stock – it’s doubly hard to get it right both times.

For every share of a stock bought, there is a share sold. Typically, this buying and selling is done at an exchange. The combined effect of all this buying and selling is that all available information is quickly incorporated into a stock’s price. So, trying to time the market based on an article you read, a TV show you watched, a chart you analyzed, or what your neighbor said is likely to send you chasing after old news. If only we could stay ahead of old news.

But what about professional stock pickers? They’re professionals, so they must know more than us, or be correct more often, right? Unfortunately, that’s not the case. Check out the linked article to learn why.